What’s the situation before the OSAKA Summit?

The G-20 Summit begins on July 28th in the meantime the issues that need to be discusses by the world leaders keep piling up. As I have mentioned yesterday, mayoral elections are over. Now, it’s time to tackle the real problems. There are several issues waiting to be solved including U.S. -Turkey relations, Eastern Mediterranean and obviously Iran.

But, Turkey- U.S. relations are of paramount importance. According to experts, US arms lobby are wasting a lot of money to entice the government to impose sanctions on countries who have bought the Russian Missile Systems. Their purpose is to prevent key countries like Turkey and India from setting a bad example for other countries by buying arms from Russia. The amount of money wasted for this purpose alone is at least ten times higher than the resources used by any country to carry out promotion activities in the United States.

Despite all these tensions, however, countries are actually not subject to CAATSA, individuals and entities are, which means the claims involving “The U.S. will impose sanctions on Turkey” is not true at all. However, financial and other institutions including their staff who acted as mediators to assist the parties in this deal involving the sale and purchase of S-400 missile systems might be subject to several sanctions under this act. The U.S. President, by the way, has the power to temporarily lift the CAATSA sanctions.

As the lobbyists were exerting pressure on US President so he starts imposing CAATSA sanctions over the last week, some fortunate events took place as well.

First tensions between Iran and the U.S. have drastically risen, followed by a safe and sound conclusion of mayoral elections in Istanbul. In the meantime, U.S. Consulate General Istanbul employee was released from house arrest. I don’t know if it’s all true but there are rumours that Trump’s son-in-law Kushner has been in Turkey to talk to some key persons and institutions. k

“Will Trump delay the CAATSA sanctions?”

As a matter of fact, U.S. -Iran tensions can give President Trump the power to delay CAATSA sanction on individuals and entities in Turkey under the pretext of ‘protecting U.S. interests’. If the U.S. is planning a military operation against Iran, they might choose to delay sanctions thinking that it may not be very helpful to start a risky conflict under the circumstances. However, the American Arms Lobbies that sustain Trump do not have influence only on the White House. They are equally powerful in Pentagon and the U.S. Department of State.

Let me repeat that the CAATSA doesn’t involve any sanctions on countries. This Act was drawn up to set forth sanctions on individuals and entities. Now, we understand that the “The U.S. will impose sanctions on Turkey” claim raised during Istanbul mayoral elections was utterly false.